劳动迁移与农民工回流动态决策机制研究图书
Rural Migrant Workers
[内容简介] 本书在新迁移经济学理论的分析框架下,以家庭劳动力最优配置决策与家庭资金最优配置决策为核心,探讨农民工迁移与回流的动态决策及其影响效应,重点对农民工迁移模式的动态决定、农民工收入与城市消费行为、汇款与农民工回流、农民工家乡住房投资行为、迁移与农户发展、回流职业选择与创业等几个问题进行探讨,最后构建农民工城乡迁移政策的联动机制,为统筹农村劳动力城乡配置和劳务输出地与劳务输入地经济协调发展提供政策建议。
图表目录
摘要
文前辅文
第一章 绪论
第一节 问题的提出
第二节 研究目标与研究内容
第三节 研究方法及技术路线
(一)研究方法
(二)技术路线
第四节 创新及不足
第二章 劳动力迁移决策及其影响效应研究:新迁移经济学视角*
第一节 劳动力迁移理论争论与发展
(一)劳动力迁移:乐观还是悲观
(二)劳动力迁移理论新发展:新迁移经济学
第二节 劳动力迁移决定与影响效应:基于新迁移经济学的实证检验
(一)循环迁移的决定机制分析:新迁移经济学视角
(二)劳动力迁移与输出地发展:微观家庭层面的证据
1.迁移与农户农业生产
2.迁移与农户家庭收入
3.迁移与农户家庭投资消费
4.劳动力外出与农户经济活动:基于中国数据的实证研究进展
第三节 劳动迁移与农民工回流动态决策机制:研究评述与实证方向
第三章 农民工迁移模式的动态选择*
第一节 农民工迁移模式现状
第二节 方法与数据
(一)估计方法
(二)数据说明与统计描述
(1)留守劳动力与外出劳动力的特征比较
(2)回流农民工与留城农民工的特征比较
(3)再迁移农民工与留乡发展农民工的特征比较
第三节 实证估计结果
第四节 结论与局限
第四章 工资收入与农民工家庭城市消费行为研究
第一节 人力资本积累、搜寻渠道与农民工工资水平*
(一)农民工工资决定因素研究述评
(二)数据来源与变量特征描述
(三)农民工工资影响因素分析
1.人力资本与农民工工资
2.搜寻途径与农民工工资
3.社会保险、工作满意度与农民工工资
第二节 跳槽能提升新生代农民工工资水平吗?*
(一)农民工就业流动现状
(二)数据来源与变量特征描述
1.新生代农民工工资水平
2.新生代农民工人力资本特征
3.新生代农民工工作搜寻方式
4.新生代农民工跳槽情况
(三)跳槽对新生代农民工工资的影响分析
1.跳槽与新生代农民工工资
2.人力资本与新生代农民工工资
3.搜寻途径与新生代农民工工资
4.签订书面劳动合同与新生代农民工工资
5.结论与建议
第三节 消费异质性:基于农民工家庭与城镇住户的比较*
(一)移民消费差异研究现状
(二)数据说明与计量模型
(三)实证检验结果与分析
1.农民工与城镇住户消费行为比较
2.农民工家庭与城镇住户消费差异Oaxaca-Blinder分解
3.农民工家庭与城镇住户消费结构比较
(四)政策含义
第五章 农民工汇款行为研究
第一节 回流意愿、居留时间与农民工汇款——基于广东用工企业的调查*
(一)移民汇款研究述评
(二)研究方法与变量选择
(三)农民工汇款数量的影响因素分析
1.回流意愿与农民工汇款
2.居留时间、迁移距离与农民工汇款
3.工资、当地生活成本与农民工汇款
4.农民工个人特征与汇款
5.农民工社会保险与汇款
(四)结论与讨论
第二节 夫妻外出、子女教育与农民工汇款——基于北京、天津、上海、广州的调查*
(一)数据来源及样本数据特征
1.数据来源
2.变量和数据描述
(二)外出农民工汇款动机及其影响因素实证分析
1.估计方法
2.估计结果
(1)个人特征与外出农民工汇款
(2)家庭特征与外出农民工汇款
(3)务工特征与外出农民工汇款
(三)结论与启示
第六章 农民工家乡住房投资行为研究*
第一节 农民工住房现状
第二节 文献综述与研究假设
(一)文献综述
(二)实证检验假设
第三节 数据来源与描述性统计
(一)数据来源
(二)描述性统计
1.调查样本农民工概况与基本特征
2.农民工家乡住房投资情况
第四节 实证估计结果
(一)农民工家乡住房投资决策
(二)住房投资事件史分析
(三)住房投资、回流意愿与农民工汇款
第五节 结论与建议
第七章 农民工外出与农户发展
第一节 劳动力外出与农户生产率*
(一)农民工外出与农户生产率研究现状
(二)数据与估计方法
1.数据来源
2.估计方法与变量设置
3.模型假定
(三)估计结果
1.估计结果
2.稳健性检验
(四)结论与政策启示
1.结果讨论
2.政策启示
第二节 农民工流动模式与农户生产经营活动:迁移异质性视角*
(一)农民工流动模式变化
(二)迁移与输出地经济发展研究述评
(三)估计方法与数据
1.估计方法
2.数据说明与统计描述
(四)实证估计结果
1.农户家庭迁移总人数与农户生产经营活动收入
2.常年在外、循环流动与农户生产经营活动
3.跨省流动、省内流动与农户生产经营活动
(五)结论与政策含义
第三节 农村劳动力外出与农户支出结构*
(一)估计方法与数据说明
1.估计方法
2.数据来源与变量描述
(二)实证估计结果
1.农户迁移模式的决定
2.农户家庭支出结构估计
(三)结论与启示
第八章 农民工回流职业选择与创业行为研究
第一节 农民工回流动因及关键影响因素研究——基于安徽太和、宿松的调查分析
(一)回流农民工特征分析
(二)农民工回流的动因分析
第二节 回流农民工职业选择研究*
(一)数据来源及说明
(二)计量模型和识别策略
(三)估计结果
(四)结论与讨论
第三节 县域经济发展与农民工返乡创业——以安徽无为为例
(一)农民工返乡创业特征
(二)返乡创业者成为无为县域经济发展的主力军
(三)无为引导农民工返乡创业的举措
(四)农民工返乡创业存在的问题
第九章 农民工城乡迁移政策的联动机制设计
第一节 研究结论
第二节 农民工城乡迁移政策的联动机制设计
(一)稳步推进户籍制度改革,创新流动人口管理,解决农业转移人口市民化准入机制问题
(二)以公共服务均等化为重点,解决农民工公共资源共享机制问题
(三)以实现稳定就业、提升就业质量为基础,解决农业迁移人口市民化的内生动力问题
(四)加大农民工人力资本开发的投入,通过提升农民工技能水平来提高农民工就业创业能力,培育新型产业工人,解决劳动力技能结构与产业发展不匹配问题
(五)以农村土地管理制度改革为突破口,推进农民财产权利市场化和城乡要素平等交换,解决城镇化中土地资源紧缺与农民工住房瓶颈问题
(六)以新农村建设为契机,增强政府对农业和农村投入,形成劳动力需求经济拉力,解决农村劳动力流失与农村经济持续发展问题
后记
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