颠覆性技术创新:理论与中国实践图书
Disruptive Technology Innovation: Theory and China's Practice
[内容简介] 《颠覆性技术创新:理论与中国实践》以计量经济学等方法对颠覆性技术的预测与产业发展机制进行了研究。本书的创新之处在于利用专利技术对颠覆性创新产业化时点进行了预测,对如何利用市场机制与政府引导促进企业创新进行了研究等。全书共12章,分为理论篇与实践篇两部分,理论篇主要对相关的理论问题进行了研究,实践篇主要对中国不同产业的颠覆性技术产业化中的经验与教训进行了案例研究。
相关信息
理论篇
第一章 产业发展过程中的颠覆性创新研究
一 引言
二 颠覆性创新的理论内涵
三 颠覆性创新的实施与应对
1.实施颠覆性创新的途径
(1)外部环境
(2)内部组织
(3)顾客导向
2.内部组织的颠覆——颠覆性商业模式创新
(1)扩展价值链管理(Extended Value Chain Management)
(2)消费者价值创造的驱动因素(Drivers of Customer Value Creation)
3.如何应对颠覆性创新
(1)创建独立的颠覆性创新组织,使其能承担服务消费者的责任
(2)使颠覆性创新组织的规模与市场规模相匹配
(3)发现新的和潜在的市场
四 总结
第二章 国外颠覆性技术预测理论与实践进展
一 引言
二 模型化方法
1.常见的技术进步预测模型
(1)间断平衡模型
(2)Logistic增长曲线
(3)摩尔定律
2.模拟方法
三 统计和数据挖掘方法
1.文献计量、科学计量、专利分析
2.数据包络分析方法
四 描述性方法
1.技术路线图
2.专家调查法
五 不同方法间的比较研究
六 总结
第三章 技术与商业模式融合的颠覆性创新
一 “互联网+”模式将成为竞争新态势
1.“互联网+”昭显强大生命力
2.“互联网+”孕育竞争新态势
3.对策与思考
二 分享经济发展面临的挑战与对策研究
(一)共享单车的发展现状及现实意义
1.共享单车是分享经济发展的新模式
2.共享单车贯彻“创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享”五大发展理念
3.共享单车符合供给侧结构性改革要求
(二)共享单车发展面临的问题
1.违规使用损害分享经济的持续性
2.失德行为扰乱市场秩序的和谐性
3.狂热投资挑战行业发展的可控性
(三)共享单车问题折射分享经济发展面临的挑战
1.征信体系不够完善,道德缺失问题严重
2.市场监管存在缺失,监管思路亟待转变
3.盲目扩张存在隐患,投资引导有待规范
(四)对策建议
1.建立分享经济信用体制,规范用户道德行为
2.创新分享经济监管方式,引导行业有序发展
3.优化分享经济发展环境,鼓励试点先行先试
第四章 创新时代后发国家技术追赶的路径
一 引言
二 后发国家技术进步的机理
(一)模型结构
1.最终产品部门
2.中间产品部门
3.消费者行为
(二)机理
1.技术引进成本低
2.居民投资倾向高
3.政府扭曲要素价格以加速积累
三 后发国家技术进步的渠道
(一)高素质人口流动
(二)自主创新
(三)技术引进
(四)加入全球价值链
(五)FDI
(六)跨境并购
四 中国技术进步的成效
(一)出口结构
(二)专利
(三)制造业劳动生产率
五 结论
第五章 创新的要素基础:中国劳动力素质的时空演化
一 数据来源及处理
1.数据来源及说明
2.数据处理
二 全国人口素质的变化
1.全国范围内情况
2.区分城市、镇和乡村的劳动年龄人口平均受教育年限变化
3.流动人口平均受教育年限及变化
4.不同年龄段人口受教育程度结构
三 四大区域人口素质的时空演化
1.人口平均素质的变化
2.区域人口受教育结构的动态演变
3.各类受教育程度人口的区域分布演化
四 中国劳动力素质未来变化趋势分析
(一)推算方法及过程
1.t年新增人口计算
2.任意年龄段不同受教育程度人数的动态变化
3.计算各年劳动适龄人口的平均受教育年限
(二)推算结果
第六章 创新的产业基础:中国产业国际竞争力现状
一 引言
二 理论回顾
三 中国产业国际竞争力的实证分析
(一)指标分类及说明
1.出口增长率优势指数
2.相对出口优势指数
3.国际市场占有率
4.贸易竞争指数
5.综合评价体系
(1)基础指标
(2)基础指标指数
(3)因素指数
(4)综合指数
(二)中国制造业国际竞争力研究
(三)中国制造业分产业国际竞争力研究
1.纺织品和服装
2.钢铁和化工产品
3.办公与电信设备和汽车产品
四 主要结论及启示
第七章 企业创新中市场与政府的关系与边界
一 引言与文献综述
二 企业创新的市场激励与非市场激励
(一)企业创新的市场激励与非市场激励
(二)创新型国家的市场激励与非市场激励
三 国家技术水平、创新政策与测量
(一)技术水平与创新政策
(二)一国在某一领域技术水平的度量
四 产业技术特征、创新政策与测量
(一)技术不确定性的定性度量——技术不确定性的四个维度
(二)技术不确定性的定量度量
五 创新政策决策模型与两种激励的边界与互动
(一)创新激励决策模型
(二)市场激励与非市场激励的互动,政策选择机制中的混合机制再探讨
(三)政策选择机制对后发国家的意义
(四)政府与市场的边界趋势
六 对于中国重大科技专项的分析
七 结论与进一步的讨论
(一)对于技术不确定性低又关系国家安全的产业,可以采取新型举国体制通过大型项目促进企业创新能力的提高
(二)敢于发挥社会主义制度的优越性,利用不同所有制企业在创新领域的比较优势,提升企业的创新能力
(三)把握政府与市场的互动、构建可持续的政策框架、充分发挥市场机制是推进战略性新兴产业发展的关键
(四)建立规范、公平、高效的创新竞争秩序是激发中小企业创新活力的关键
实践篇
第八章 颠覆性技术的产业化预测:以平板显示技术替代CRT技术为例
一 引言
二 技术预测的方法
(一)模型化方法
(二)描述性方法
(三)统计和数据挖掘方法
(四)总结
三 专利数据及数据分析框架
(一)数据来源
(二)数据处理步骤
四 数据分析结果
(一)基础专利文献计量分析
(二)利用专利地图方法进行技术替代分析
(三)颠覆性技术更替背景下的企业转型失败案例
五 结论和反思
附录 美国专利与商标管理局专利全文数据库搜索代码(Query)
第九章 传统能源行业创新:“互联网+电网”的新探索
一 “互联网+电网”是新电改背景下能源互联网的重要切入点
二 “互联网+电网”战略顺应全球电网互联新趋势
三 “互联网+电网”战略有望赢得能源变革市场先机
四 建议与思考
(一)鼓励互联网企业与电力企业合作,打造能源互联平台
(二)引导电力企业积极拥抱互联网,参与“互联网+电网”创新发展
(三)健全能源互联机制,加快能源互联技术研发
五 “互联网+电网”案例分析:腾讯启动“互联网+电网”战略
第十章 商业模式颠覆:网购与传统购物模式的比较分析
一 问题提出
二 模型设计
(一)传统购物模型
1.消费
2.生产
3.流通
4.均衡
(二)网购模型
1.生产
2.流通
3.消费
4.均衡
三 结果分析
(一)均衡价格和产量比较
1.均衡产量比较
2.均衡价格比较
(二)影响因素及推论
1.网购市场规模越大,则网购对社会商品产出的促进作用越大
2.我国居民人均收入水平不高的现状对网购的作用存在重要影响
3.我国要素禀赋结构近年来出现大幅度转换,网购的出现正是这种结构转换的必然结果
4.网购模式有利于提高就业水平
5.网购模式有利于企业技术进步
四 结论
第十一章 基于国情的颠覆性创新机制:我国互联网金融发展研究
一 颠覆性创新的理论内涵
(一)颠覆性创新概念的演进
(二)颠覆性创新的概念和分类
1.颠覆性创新的概念
2.颠覆性创新的分类
(1)新市场颠覆
(2)低端市场颠覆
二 互联网金融是不是颠覆性创新
(一)关于互联网金融是不是颠覆性创新的争论
1.颠覆论
2.非颠覆论
(二)互联网金融概念及其创新性分析
1.互联网金融的概念
2.互联网金融的创新性分析
(三)从对颠覆性创新的理解误区看互联网金融的创新性
1.颠覆性创新不能等同于毁灭性创新
2.颠覆性创新不是在位企业和超越企业的零和博弈
3.颠覆性创新具有相对性
(四)基于中国国情的互联网金融
三 互联网金融颠覆传统金融的原因分析
(一)互联网金融颠覆性创新的PEST模型分析
1.政治环境分析
(1)垄断竞争环境给传统金融行业发展带来弊端
(2)互联网金融突破金融垄断
2.经济环境分析
(1)国际经济环境
(2)国内经济环境
3.社会环境分析
(1)空白的低端市场
(2)众多的低端用户
(3)良好的用户体验
4.技术环境分析
(1)移动支付
(2)云计算
(3)大数据
(二)基于金融功能的互联网金融颠覆性创新原因分析
1.传统金融的主要功能
2.互联网金融对传统金融功能的颠覆性创新
(1)支付结算功能
(2)投融资管理功能
(3)资源配置功能
四 我国互联网金融的发展及其影响
(一)我国互联网金融的产业生态体系
1.第三方支付
2.网贷业务
3.众筹融资
(二)我国互联网金融发展对传统银行的影响
1.第三方支付替代传统支付业务
2.网贷业务替代传统存贷款业务
3.众筹融资替代传统证券业务
(三)传统银行及政府对互联网金融发展做出的回应
1.四大银行下调支付宝快捷支付限额
2.第三方支付面临新一轮监管压力
五 主要结论和建议
(一)互联网金融是基于中国国情的颠覆性创新
(二)互联网金融实现了对传统金融功能的颠覆
(三)互联网金融对传统行业造成冲击和影响
(四)政府对待互联网金融既要监管又要扶持
第十二章 颠覆性创新的监管:我国P2P网络借贷的政策监管与发展研究
一 我国P2P网络借贷的发展现状与问题
1.P2P网络借贷规模增长迅猛
2.P2P平台资金链断裂导致的跑路等现象愈发突出
3.P2P网络借贷面临诸多风险
二 我国P2P网络借贷监管政策的发展与内容
1.P2P行业政策监管的起源与发展
2.P2P网络借贷的监管机构及监管要求
3.我国P2P网络借贷监管制度的核心理念
三 当前P2P网络借贷与监管政策导向的主要冲突
1.职能定位超越“信息中介”,部分或全部成为“信用中介”
2.信息披露与风险揭示缺失,损害投资者合法权益
3.线下获取资源现象频发,架空“网贷平台”称谓
4.部分P2P网贷平台存在自融或为关联方提供融资的问题
四 政策监管下P2P网贷平台转型发展的主要趋势
1.P2P网贷公司的组织形式和业务结构将发生改变
2.自担风险的机制将形成
3.P2P网贷市场竞争格局将会调整
4.P2P行业发展速度趋向理性
5.地方监管政策差异可能引发跨区域监管套利等风险
五 启示与建议
1.提升“互联网+”在金融领域的应用,共享资源,加强合作
2.强化政策协调与行业自律,降低潜在市场风险
3.借助新兴技术保障系统安全,减轻政策监管负担
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