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11

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伊核问题破局多角透视图书

Multi-Angle Perspective on the Breakthrough in Iran Nuclear Issue

SSAPID:101-2205-2393-20
ISBN:978-7-5201-1847-7
DOI:
ISSN:

[内容简介] 本书围绕伊核问题破局这一主题展开分析,从多个角度重点探讨了“破局”的促进因素,涉及奥巴马政府对伊朗的接触政策、美国在伊朗核权利上的渐次让步、欧盟在伊朗核问题上的政策、对伊朗的经济制裁、国际法、美国“中东离岸平衡”战略、乌克兰危机等。同时,本书还对“破局”后中国对伊朗政策进行了探讨。

相关信息

丛书名:
作 者: 岳汉景
编 辑:赵怀英;赵冉
出版社:社会科学文献出版社
出版时间: 2018年01月
语 种:中文;英文
中图分类:D8 外交、国际关系

 后记

 前言

 第一章 奥巴马政府对伊朗的接触政策与伊核问题初步破局

  第一节 小布什政府对伊朗的选择性接触政策

  第二节 奥巴马政府对伊朗的无条件接触政策

  第三节 “接触政策”下的伊核问题系列会谈与美伊密谈

  第四节 本章小结

 第二章 美国在伊朗核权利上的渐次让步与伊核问题初步破局

  第一节 伊朗的核权利应该是什么

  第二节 小布什政府在伊朗核权利上的让步

  第三节 奥巴马政府在伊朗核权利上的继续让步

  第四节 美国在伊朗核权利上让步的原因

  第五节 本章小结

 第三章 欧盟在伊朗核问题上的政策与伊核问题破局

  第一节 国际原子能机构框架下欧盟的积极调解人角色(2003~2006年)

  第二节 联合国安理会框架下欧盟在伊核问题上的政策(2006~2008年)

  第三节 “6+1”框架下欧盟在伊核问题上的政策(2009~ )

  第四节 本章小结

 第四章 经济制裁、政权更迭与伊核问题全面破局

  第一节 以核问题为由对伊朗的经济制裁

  第二节 政权更迭:美欧强化制裁的目的

  第三节 伊朗政局保持稳定:美欧目的没有实现

   一 伊朗政治稳定的表现

   二 大变局中伊朗政治稳定的原因之一:伊朗例外论

   三 原因之二:叙利亚内乱

   四 原因之三:因核活动而对伊朗实施的经济制裁

   五 原因之四:伊朗特殊的政治体系

  第四节 本章小结

 第五章 国际法与伊核问题全面破局

  第一节 国际核不扩散机制的产生与发展

   一 美国核垄断时期国际社会的核不扩散努力

   二 美国核垄断被打破与国际原子能机构的产生

   三 美苏核均势与《不扩散核武器条约》的产生

   四 海湾战争后国际核安全保障机制和出口管制机制的发展

  第二节 国际法对伊核问题全面破局的促进作用

   一 国际法为伊核问题全面协议的制定提供了依据

   二 核不扩散机制本身存在不公平性,美国等国以“法”压伊底气不足

   三 美国在《不扩散核武器条约》的履行上表现糟糕,缺乏反扩散的道义优势

   四 因核而对伊朗实施军事打击的法律依据不足

    (一)伊朗并没有违反《不扩散核武器条约》

    (二)禁止使用武力原则及其例外

    (三)美国难觅对伊朗动武的充分法律依据

  第三节 本章小结

 第六章 “亚太再平衡”、“中东离岸平衡”与伊核问题全面破局

  第一节 “亚太再平衡”战略出台的原因及实施策略

   一 “亚太再平衡”战略出台的原因

   二 “亚太再平衡”战略的实施策略

  第二节 “亚太再平衡”战略催生“中东离岸平衡”

   一 离岸平衡的要旨

   二 奥巴马政府之前,美国“中东离岸平衡”战略的实施

   三 奥巴马政府实施“中东离岸平衡”战略的可行性

   四 奥巴马政府实施“中东离岸平衡”战略的具体表现

  第三节 “中东离岸平衡”战略的实施推动伊核问题破局

   一 伊核问题破局是美国离岸中东所需

   二 伊核问题破局是美国在中东进行“平衡”所需

  第四节 本章小结

 第七章 克里米亚“脱乌入俄”、俄欧能源博弈与伊核问题全面破局

  第一节 克里米亚“脱乌入俄”背景

  第二节 俄罗斯使用武力的非法性与政治合理性

   一 俄罗斯使用武力的非法性

    (一)俄罗斯使用武力的法律证成

    (二)俄使用武力的非法性

     1.俄使用武力违反了相关条约,不属于单独自卫

     2.俄使用武力不属于集体自卫

     3.俄使用武力不属于受邀干涉内部武装冲突

   二 俄罗斯使用武力的政治合理性

    (一)亲俄政府倒台是西方对俄战略空间肆意蚕食所致

    (二)乌克兰倒向西方严重危及俄核心利益,俄必须反制

    (三)俄反制具备历史和现实条件

  第三节 乌克兰危机加剧俄欧能源博弈

  第四节 乌克兰危机前的俄欧能源博弈及伊朗的角色

  第五节 俄欧能源博弈激化助推伊核问题全面破局

  第六节 本章小结

 第八章 伊核问题破局后中国对伊朗的政策

  第一节 欧美在伊核问题上的政策对中国的影响

   一 欧盟的伊核政策对中国的影响

   二 美国在伊核问题上的政策对中国的影响

  第二节 伊核问题破局后中国对伊朗政策的机遇与挑战

   一 伊核问题破局后中国对伊朗政策的机遇

   二 伊核问题破局后中国对伊朗政策的挑战

  第三节 本章小结

 附录1 《联合行动计划》

  Joint Plan of Action

   Preamble

   Elements of a first step

   Iran would undertake the following voluntary measures:

   In return,the E3/EU+3 would undertake the following voluntary measures:

   Elements of the final step of a comprehensive solution

 附录2 《联合全面行动计划》

  Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action Vienna,14 July 2015

   PREFACE

   PREAMBLE AND GENERAL PROVISIONS

   NUCLEAR

    A.ENRICHMENT,ENRICHMENT R&D,STOCKPILES

    B.ARAK,HEAVY WATER,REPROCESSING

    C.TRANSPARENCY AND CONFIDENCE BUILDING MEASURES

   SANCTIONS

   IMPLEMENTATION PLAN

   DISPUTE RESOLUTION MECHANISM

 附录3 《联合国安全理事会第2231(2015)号决议》

  主要发展情况

   A.导言

   B.最近发展情况

    B.1 澄清未决问题

    B.2 联合全面行动计划

     B.2.1 理事会的决议

     B.2.2 实施日

    B.3 “联合行动计划”监测和核查的结束

    B.4 财务和行政事项

   C.《联合全面行动计划》核查和监测活动

    C.1.重水和后处理相关活动

    C.2 浓缩和燃料相关活动

    C.3 离心机的研究与发展、制造和存量

   D.透明度措施

   E.其他相关资料

   F.总结

本书围绕伊核问题破局这一主题展开分析,从多个角度重点探讨了“破局”的促进因素,涉及奥巴马政府对伊朗的接触政策、美国在伊朗核权利上的渐次让步、欧盟在伊朗核问题上的政策、对伊朗的经济制裁、国际法、美国“中东离岸平衡”战略、乌克兰危机等。同时,本书还对“破局”后中国对伊朗政策进行了探讨。

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